This 6%-Yielding Portfolio Is Cheap. But Is It a Value?

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Let’s talk about the cheapest dividend payers in the world. With respect to cold hard cash flow.

We contrarians are too savvy for P/E ratios. We know that earnings are accounting creations. “Profits” are all fugayzi.

Free cash flow (FCF), on the other hand, is what it is. The cash a company brings in, minus capital expenditures. This cash can be reinvested in the business or, better yet, paid out to income investors like us.

We like companies that dish dividends because their businesses are running on relative autopilot. They needn’t plow every dollar they raise back in. Which is great—more yield for us.… Read more

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The best thing about a multi-year bear market? The bargains.

Today we’ll talk dividend deals. Big payers. Stocks yielding up to 10.3% and trading for as little as three-times free cash flow (FCF).

That’s right—3X FCF!

Profits are Fake, Cash Flow is Real

Wall Street accountants can “adjust” just about every number in a 10-Q. “Adjusted earnings.” “Adjusted EBITDA.” Heck, I’ve even seen “adjusted revenues.” But it’s next to impossible to “adjust” cash. Cash flow is, well, cash flow.

Also, cash is ultimately what pays us. Dividends aren’t paid out of sales, or even paper earnings, but out of real cash.… Read more

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We are heading into the most telegraphed recession in American history. Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell said it himself last month:

“As rates go higher, it’s hard to see a soft landing.”

Gee Jay, no kidding. Your Fed is squeezing us directly into a slowdown with these short-term rate hikes and balance sheet drawdowns.

Now I’m not saying it’s the wrong move, Jay. You printed a lot of money in 2020—so much that we fell way behind the inflation curve in 2021. Economic indicators and price numbers are still running hot.

So I’m not surprised to see your feet on the breaks for most of the year.… Read more

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Thank you, bear market. Thanks to a terrible 2022, we have four dirt-cheap dividend payers dishing up to 9%.

These are cash cows I’m talking about. Companies that gush free cash flow and shovel it back to us in the form of big yields.

Earnings are accounting numbers. Cash flow is real life.

And it’s not out of deals, either—in fact, over the past few days, I’ve kept increasingly close watch over a four-pack of cash cows with high yields of up to 9% and deliciously low prices.

But given a still-dangerous market environment, we need to focus on quality.… Read more

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Dividend-paying energy stocks are probably going to be the best place to collect income for the rest of the decade.

This is great news because the rest of the stock market is expensive and overheated again. Never thought we’d see it with the Fed tightening, but here we are.

Fortunately we have a dip to buy in energy dividends. These stocks have taken a breather after running up at a blistering pace since April 2020.

(Back when oil prices dropped below zero—to negative $37 per barrel. As contrarian dividend investors, we’ve seen it all together, haven’t we?… Read more

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