This Simple Mistake Could Kill Your Profits in a Market Rally

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This Simple Mistake Could Kill Your Profits in a Market Rally

With stocks again on the upswing after the August 5 pullback, the appetite for risk is back!

Rising markets are terrific, of course. But they do bring dangers. One is that they might tempt some people to abandon sound long-term investing and take a stab at more speculative approaches, like day trading.

Before we go too far into whether you can actually make a reliable return from day trading, I’d say that to be a successful day trader, you should be aiming to beat the market … and a lot of ink has been spilled about how active managers—and I’d include individual investors here—can’t do that on the regular.… Read more

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My Favorite Dividend Tracker App Got Even Better

Over the past two Wednesdays we have discussed 10 timely high-yield stocks and funds. Talk may be cheap, but these income streams are generous.

Let’s talk dividend details using data from Income Calendar, the dividend tracker app we developed in-house here at Contrarian Outlook.

First, the projected income from these 10 payers. A $10,000 position in each tees us up for a $5,065.22 income stream over the next 12 months. A 5.07% average yield.

(Which, by the way, is over four times what the S&P 500 pays. Four times.) 

Our 12-Month Projected Income

Source: Income Calendar

Here’s the income contribution broken down by position.… Read more

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My Favorite Dividend Tracker App Got Even Better

Over the past two Wednesdays we have discussed 10 timely high-yield stocks and funds. Talk may be cheap, but these income streams are generous.

Let’s talk dividend details using data from Income Calendar, the dividend tracker app we developed in-house here at Contrarian Outlook.

First, the projected income from these 10 payers. A $10,000 position in each tees us up for a $5,065.22 income stream over the next 12 months. A 5.07% average yield.

(Which, by the way, is over four times what the S&P 500 pays. Four times.) 

Our 12-Month Projected Income

Source: Income Calendar

Here’s the income contribution broken down by position.… Read more

Read More

When Rates Fall, This 14% Dividend Soars (Next Likely Jump: September)

I have to laugh when I hear people say Jay Powell has been tough on rates. Sure, he’s been talking tough. But when he’s not doing his Dirty Harry act at the mic, he’s been keeping the liquidity party going through the back door!

I call this “Quiet QE.” If you’ve read my articles in the last couple of years, or are a member of one of my premium services, you’ve no doubt heard me talk about it before.

It’s one-half of the opportunity we’re looking at in corporate bonds today.

The other? The arrival of what I call “real” QE, in the form of rate cuts slated to start up in September.… Read more

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This Steady 14% Dividend Will Crush Stocks Well Into 2025

Stock market predictions, of course, are just that—predictions. All of them (including mine!) should be taken with a grain of salt.

I normally prefer to avoid making them. But every now and then I partake because, well, the prediction game is fun! And we do need some kind of forecast to work from when it comes to buying stocks—and our favorite income plays: 8%+ yielding closed-end funds (CEFs).

The key, of course, is knowing when to stick to your forecasts and when to change tack. So as we move past the August 5 correction and toward the final third of 2024, it’s a good time to check in on a couple predictions I made back in January and see how they’re playing out.… Read more

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The Pros Say “No” to These Dividends Up To 13%. I Say …

The haters are out in full force.

Wall Street “pros” are downright disgusted with high-yield stocks. Here at Contrarian Outlook, this pessimism warms our heart. With no analysts left to slap a Sell rating on these names, the future is filled with upgrades.

By the way: Consensus Buy calls are a dime a dozen. Analysts notoriously lean, ahem, optimistic, so there’s nothing special about a stock that’s dripping in positive ratings. But if a stock is stuffed with Sells, that’s rare, and I take notice.

How unusual are Sell calls? Just one S&P 500 stock is rated a consensus Sell right now.… Read more

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Here Are the Dividend Moves We’re Making (and the Timing) in This Selloff

I never thought I’d see the day when “yen carry trade” was splashed across the financial news. But here we are.

We talked about this weird setup, and how it sparked the August 5 market crash, in Monday’s article. Today we’re going to get into what it all means for closed-end funds (CEFs), including the opportunities now available to us in these high yielders.

First up, while the press was quick to paint the correction as a “made in Japan” event, we do have some signs of a slowdown starting to appear in America.

Is This the Recession We’ve Been Waiting For?… Read more

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Here Are the Dividend Moves We’re Making (and the Timing) in This Selloff

I never thought I’d see the day when “yen carry trade” was splashed across the financial news. But here we are.

We talked about this weird setup, and how it sparked the August 5 market crash, in Monday’s article. Today we’re going to get into what it all means for closed-end funds (CEFs), including the opportunities now available to us in these high yielders.

First up, while the press was quick to paint the correction as a “made in Japan” event, we do have some signs of a slowdown starting to appear in America.

Is This the Recession We’ve Been Waiting For?… Read more

Read More

Boogers, Biotech and Health Insurance: The Safest Dividends for a Recession

Let’s talk about recession-resistant dividends because, if history is any guide, we are certainly “on the clock” for a slowdown if not already in one. Here at Contrarian Outlook we have been preparing for slower economic readings, and our recession divvies have already delivered.

Why the focus on slowdown safety? The Federal Reserve began hiking rates 2+ years ago. This is around the time something usually snaps in the financial markets. Sure enough, the Japanese yen of all things caused a VIX spike last seen in the 2008 and COVID crashes.

Our recession focus of late has been defense.… Read more

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2 Dividend “Gushers” Most Folks Miss (Payouts Growing Up to 289%)

Don’t worry—we haven’t missed out on the bargains from the August 5 “flash crash.” We’ve still got a sweet setup for surging dividends in a sector most people completely misunderstand.

Misunderstood, unloved and soaring dividends? We’re interested!

I’m talking about refinery stocks. We’re going to zero in on two of my favorites today: Phillips 66 (PSX) and Valero Energy Corp. (VLO). As you’ll see below, I like one more than the other in the market in front of us now.

I say refiners are misunderstood because most investors confuse them with energy producers, who drill for oil and natural gas, then sell the raw products.… Read more

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