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The S&P Languishes – Again – Around Key Support at 1040

by Brett on August 31, 2010

Not much new on Wall Street today – another lazy day in late summer.  Stocks continue to churn on anemic volume just above key support levels:

S&P 1040 Support September 2010 ChartThe S&P continues to mill about just above its key support at 1040. (Source: StockCharts.com)

Meanwhile, it seems like most investors are well aware of the fact that September is historically a very bad months for stocks – from Minyanville:

But if history is any guide, strategists emphasize, we may be in for another rough ride as September now kicks off. S&P’s Sam Stovall notes that the S&P 500 has posted its worst monthly return in September whether you go back to 1990, 1970, 1945, or 1928.

Another reason to worry: The mid-term election could put additional pressure on the benchmark this month, Stovall says. Since 1930, the S&P 500 declined an average 1.7% in the September before the mid-term elections and recorded a 52% frequency of decline.

While I continue to stay short this market (current futures positions here):

Contrary Investing Futures Positions September 2010

I’m not sure if I’d initiate a new S&P short position at this juncture – as the contrarian in me thinks we’ve got to see some sort of short-term pop soon.  Markets rarely cooperate with broader prevailing sentiment.


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Read more on S&P 500 (SPX), Support Level at Wikinvest

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