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Super trader Dennis Gartman shares his top 3 trades for 2011 with CNBC: No big surprise that the Gart-Man still digs agriculture and things that “would hurt if dropped on your foot,” as he loves to say. Hat tips to The Daily Crux and Investment Postcards for the link!
Repeat after me: “They are still all the same markets!” There’s the US Dollar – and then there’s everything else. And the dollar, just days after QE2 was announced, turned up in sharp fashion. Some final nail in the coffin that was! It appears this is STILL the only chart we need to watch. (Source: […]
This is turning into “Commodity Short Alert” day here at Contrary Investing! We just warned you about the ailments of copper, which looks like it may have eaten some bad chow mein for lunch. Also “down” on this “up” day for the markets was cotton – which has been breaking down in a major way […]
Corn futures are getting absolutely trashed this morning…along with basically everything else in the commodities sector. July futures are down nearly 8% as I write, as the USDA just reported that corn stocks are up 6% from a month earlier. Obviously the market does not like this supply news, and corn is being heavily discounted […]
The LA Times reports that corn supplies are tightening, with supply/demand projected to be “upside down” this year: This year’s harvest is expected to yield 11.9 billion bushels, down 155 million from last month’s projection. The decline is due to soggy weather in such corn-producing states as Illinois, where farmers have delayed planting. Total use […]
Despite record harvests last year, corn and wheat stocks are still sitting near 30-year lows. Which means, anything short of a bumper crop could send the grains skywards once again. Here are some very cool charts, courtesy of Chris Mayer at DailyWealth, that depict the stocks-to-use ratios of of wheat and corn since 1970, versus […]
Regular readers know that we’ve been anxiously awaiting the decoupling of commodities and currencies from stocks. These asset classes are historically uncorrelated. That changed late last year when the financial world ended, and everything went down the crapper at about the same speed. Except, of course, the US dollar and bonds…but I digress… Today stocks […]
Marc Faber says that investing in agriculture today will be like investing in oil in 2001, when it was priced at $17/barrel, according to The National Post. Faber says that record low inventories, declining agricultural productivity, and increasing demand for food will drive prices higher. The falling productivity line is especially interesting…Faber says productivity in […]
If you have the majority of your savings in US dollars, this may be the most important insight you ever hear from Jim Rogers. In an interview with Bloomberg from this morning, Rogers said: “We’re going to have a currency crisis, probably this fall or the fall of 2010. It’s been building up for a […]
Milton Friedman said that inflation is “always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon.” Judging by the recent price action in many of the soft and agricultural commodities, they appear to agree. Ben Bernanke, a student of the Great Depression, is making a bet the Friedman was wrong. Bernanke believes that because Friedman did much of his […]
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