Is 2009 A Repeat of 1930? Why Depressions May Rhyme

The Contrary Investing Report

Investing and Trading News, with a Contrarian, Sarcastic Twist!

As financial pundits and common investors breath collective sighs of relief that “the worst is over” and “the bull is back”, let’s explore the possibility that 2009 may be following a script that was originally penned in 1930. After the initial crash in 1929, the markets staged a powerful rally that retraced 60% of these […]

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Sorry about the headline…I just couldn’t help myself! It’s amazing how a good budget crisis can make a Libertarian out of any politician. “Can we tax it if we legalize it?” First it was the Hippy Lettuce on the table for legalization in my home state, the People’s Republic of California – and now – […]

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Famed Silicon Valley law firm Fenwick & West recently release their latest Venture Capital Survey for the 2nd Quarter of 2009. The survey is a great resource, and I’d imagine an even better marketing/PR piece for Fenwick. Their survey results pretty much confirmed what I’m observing in the startup trenches here in Northern California – […]

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Interesting times in the markets. US equities have now completed a standard fare “Fibonacci retracement” off of the March 6 lows. Now, where to from here? Bulls and bears alike conceded that a strong rally was quite probable. Now that it’s happened, what can we expect? There seem to be two or three prevailing market […]

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Here are a couple of very insightful video interviews with Robert Prechter of Elliott Wave International: Part I – Prechter believes the dollar has bottomed, because of the formation in the Elliott Wave pattern, and also the extreme bearish sentiment we’re seeing. Part II – He explains his deflationary depression hypothesis and why he believes […]

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So which will it be…IN-flation, or DE-flation? That’s the $52 trillion question at this point. There are many worthy opinions to consider on each side of the debate. But who’s right, and who’s wrong? I think it’s important for us individual investors/traders to keep an open mind to all thoughtful, intelligent argumets. Which leads me […]

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We keep hearing how US households are paying off their debts. The important question is – how much debt is left to be paid off? For some insights into how much painful deleveraging may be left – I’d like to share what Bill Bonner wrote in today’s Daily Reckoning (an excellent free email newsletter by […]

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