CBOE Implied Correlation Index Hits New Record

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The CBOE Implied Correlation index has hit a new record – and this is usually bearish.  From ZeroHedge: The CBOE Implied Correlation index has just hit another historic plateau, touching on 85 earlier in the day, which means that all those who believe relative value can still be found are about to be carted off. […]

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On Thursday I was en route to Montreal for a wedding, and as luck would have it, I received a phone call from Martin Mittelstaedt from Canada’s Globe and Mail.  Martin was working on a story about deflation investing for Saturday’s globe – a very well-timed piece given the latest CPI numbers, and Friday’s slaughter […]

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Since the stock market put in a short term bottom a couple of weeks ago (thanks to overwhelming pessimism), the mini-rally since has been a one-way street UP – until today. This has been the trend of the market since about 2003 or so – it’s either up for many consecutive time periods (like 2003-2007, […]

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Last week, we picked up a story courtesy of Bespoke Investments that showed just 4% of S&P 500 stocks were above their 50-day moving average – a level not even seen during the March 2009 lows! So we thought a stock market bounce might be on tap – and sure enough, this week we got […]

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Stocks entered this week in an extremely oversold condition, with overwhelmingly bearish sentiment amongst investors.  Just 4% of stocks in the S&P 500 sat above their 50-day moving average heading into the 4th of July holiday – a number even more dismal than the March 2009 lows! Today we got a sharp rally in the […]

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Last week, the S&P 500 collapsed through it’s 1040 support line, which had been tested twice before, indicating that there might be major PAIN ahead for stocks. This morning, stocks opened UP – but found resistance once again at 1040…this time, to the ceiling side. Before the weekend holiday, Todd Harrison of Minyanville presciently mused […]

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Today, US stocks were not successful in issuing a counterpunch to yesterday’s bloodbath, when there were 11 stocks down for every 1 up.  Stocks staged a meager rally after opening – only to swoon late and close at new lows for 2010. As you can see from the chart below, the S&P 500 peaked in […]

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For a long while, it felt like the resumption of the stock market decline would never come.  But now, it appears that US equities – the final holdout of the ’09-10 “reflation rally” – are once again under some serious pressure. When we last chatted, we wondered if the S&P’s kiss of the 1122 mark […]

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Today we got the stock market pullback that we anticipated yesterday (read that post here).  As I write this a few minutes before the closing bell, the S&P 500 is down about 13 points, now trading right around the 1100 mark. According to the Associated Press, volume is lighter than Monday’s session – with volume […]

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Stocks gapped higher at the opening bell this morning on news that China would (slowly) allow the Yuan to float.  The “Renminbi Rally” was to be short lived, however.  The S&P briefly stuck its nose above the 1130 mark, and quickly reversed skate to finish the day in the red.  Volume was anemic, once again.Is […]

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