Technical Guru Swenlin: Rydex Ratio Looking Frothy

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Stock market technician Carl Swenlin looks at the Rydex Ratio today – an indicator screaming out that it’s been a LONG time since sentiment was this bullish. Rydex Ratio Reflects Very Bullish Sentiment by Carl Swenlin As prices soar, the Rydex Ratio reflects increasingly bullish sentiment. The chart shows that the Ratio has not reached […]

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With the precious metals recovering from their recent free fall, you would think investor sentiment would be at rock bottom levels.  If so, then you (and me) would be wrong – at least according to an indicator that only our technical expert Carl Swenlin would have a beat on! Precious Metals Sentiment by Carl Swenlin […]

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As the Dow hits a new time high, with the S&P 500 close behind, signs of an impending correction continue to pile up.  While the market has continued to climb the “wall of worry” higher since March 2009, it’s worth remembering that markets do go down once in awhile as well.  Today technician Carl Swenlin […]

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Anecdotally you probably believe that this market is pretty overbought – here’s some convincing further evidence, presented by technician Carl Swenlin.  It’s not a guarantee of price declines, but as Swenlin mention, it should be a reason to exercise caution on the long side of this market… Very Overbought Market by Carl Swenlin One of […]

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Equal-Weighted Beating Cap-Weighted by Carl Swenlin I have long been a cheerleader for equal weighted indexes versus cap-weighted ones, and now seems like a good time to demonstrate why. In a cap-weighted index stocks influence the price of the index based upon their market capitalization (price time number of shares). For example the top 50 […]

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Gold Resuming Long-Term Up Trend? by Carl Swenlin On the weekly chart below, we can see that, after making a new, all-time high back in August of 2011, gold went into a correction/consolidation mode, ultimately forming a descending triangle. While this formation suggests lower prices (the flat line is the weakest), price broke up through […]

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Lessons from the 1987 Crash by Carl Swenlin It has been 25 years since the 1987 Crash, and I thought it would be a good time review a few things that probably won’t be covered elsewhere in the media. I may have covered these issues in the past, but a refresher can’t hurt. (This is […]

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Sentiment and Seasonality Urge Caution by Carl Swenlin The National Association of Independent Investment Managers (NAAIM) weekly poll* shows that they are 83% long. This qualifies as an extreme level of optimism, and should cause concern. (This is a recent excerpt from the blog for Decision Point subscribers.) On the following chart we can see […]

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by Carl Swenlin After languishing for three months in a sideways consolidation, gold has finally begun moving up again. This is encouraging for gold investors, but there are still obstacles to be overcome before it can be considered to be fully in the clear. (This is a recent excerpt from the blog for Decision Point […]

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by Carl Swenlin Decision Point publishes a daily Tracker report of our 152 Blue Chip list. This list is composed of the stocks in the S&P 100 Index, the Dow 65, and some large-cap Nasdaq stocks. We also track the Top 10 stocks in ths list, ranked by relative strength measured by Decision Point’s proprietary PMO […]

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