3 Unloved REITs To Buy With 30% Upside

The Contrary Investing Report

Investing and Trading News, with a Contrarian, Sarcastic Twist!

Contrarian investors have been handed a gift this week by Mr. Market — an opportunity to buy high-quality dividend growth names on sale at multiyear lows.

Editors and financial writers clearly love “Retail Apocalypse” and “Zombie Mall” headlines. These sensational articles spin the facts to reinforce a story that attracts enormous page views — so expect to see a lot more of them.

We all know many department stores are struggling and some malls are on life support. This isn’t exactly breaking news. It was highlighted once again by J.C. Penney (JCP) poor Q1 results last week, which triggered a -14% drop in JCP shares. So, let’s totally avoid the department stores and regional malls for now.

How often do you go to the local supermarket? …
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Contrarian investors have been handed a gift this week by Mr. Market — an opportunity to buy high-quality dividend growth names on sale at multiyear lows.

Editors and financial writers clearly love “Retail Apocalypse” and “Zombie Mall” headlines. These sensational articles spin the facts to reinforce a story that attracts enormous page views — so expect to see a lot more of them.

We all know many department stores are struggling and some malls are on life support. This isn’t exactly breaking news. It was highlighted once again by J.C. Penney (JCP) poor Q1 results last week, which triggered a -14% drop in JCP shares. So, let’s totally avoid the department stores and regional malls for now.

How often do you go to the local supermarket? …
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Energy is one sector where the experts just can’t seem to get it right.

That’s a trend my colleague Brett Owens has been watching for a long time. In a March article, he warned that too many investors were bullish on oil, and the hedge fund “experts” betting on an imminent price breakthrough were wrong.

Since then, oil prices, oil stocks and energy funds have fallen sharply, leading energy to post year-to-date losses while every other asset class is up:

Energy Takes a Dive

It doesn’t matter how you played energy; the Alerian MLP ETF (AMLP) was the best performer, but even that was negative, while the more oil-exposed Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) …
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You won’t see these “hidden yields” quoted on any financial website. But these firms are showering their shareholders with double-digit yields – and making their owners rich in the process.

The key to finding them? Look beyond the stated yields and focus on the more nuanced (and more valuable) “shareholder yields”.

Take Corning (GLW) for example. The maker of Gorilla Glass never pays more than 3% – if you only look at the current dividend, that is:

Always a Modest 2%+ Yield

But Corning’s shareholder yield – which properly includes money the firm spends on share buybacks – has climbed into double-digits in recent years. Which is the main reason why shares have rewarded investors with 156% returns over the last five years: …
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Buying real estate investment trusts isn’t like buying other stocks; despite their high yields and big long-term returns, REITs require a bit more attention and a bit faster action than more popular dividend-payers, like blue chips and dividend-growth stocks.

But it’s more than just speed and care. To win with REITs, you need to follow three rules—and I’m going to show you those today.

These REIT rules have never been more important than they are now. Broadly, REITs are getting more valuable, but the market is getting more scared of them. This disconnect makes no sense and is partly the reason why two extremely healthy and valuable REITs—Sabra Health Care REIT (SBRA) and Care Capital Properties (CCP) recently merged.

In their announcement, both firms said the merger would save $20 million in costs annually, provide greater diversification and give the new company more cash for expansion. …
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Fact: When interest rates rise, you need to be in dividend-growth stocks.

Proof: They’ve handily beaten the S&P 500 in the 17 months since the Federal Reserve put the zero-interest-rate era on ice.

In just a moment, I’ll show you 2 terrific off-the-radar dividend-growth plays to snap up now—and 2 surprising blue chips you’ll want to keep well away from your nest egg.

First, take a look at how the iShares Core Dividend-Growth ETF (DGRO) has performed vs. the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) on a total-return basis since December 16, 2015, the day Janet Yellen raised rates for the first time in nine years.

The Dividend-Growth Edge in 1 Chart

This is exactly why dividend-growers must hold pride of place in your portfolio: …
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When blue chips get too popular – like the five I’m going to show you today – these “safe stocks” can actually be dangerous to continue holding in your portfolio.

The problem with blue-chip stocks? Call it the “Curse of the Dow.” The Curse says a stock that joins the Dow Jones Industrial Average will essentially hit a wall, underperforming in the ensuing months compared to how it performed before ascension. It’s not perfect, but it’s close – since 1999, 15 of 16 stocks that have joined the Dow have averaged 1% gains over the next six months, but averaged 11% gains in the six months before inclusion.

Why? There are a few factors, but one of the most prevailing is that by the point a stock has joined the Dow, it’s typically nearing the end of its growth ramp and reaching the slower-growth “mature” part of the business cycle. …
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Dividend growth is one of the keys to a strong retirement portfolio (and 12% annual gains forever). While any stock boasting a big stated yield is sure to grab your attention, if that dividend isn’t growing, it’s actually shrinking (as inflation eats up more and more of that income every year.)

That’s why I regularly keep my eye on dividend increases … and why I’m looking at a bundle of stocks that are very likely to up the ante on their regular payouts over the next few months.

If you’re an income investor, it’s increasingly important to focus on dividend growth because – guess what? – it’s slowing. Check out the chart below, which shows the S&P 500’s rate of dividend growth has pulled back to its lowest point since 2011. …
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Something wonderful happened last week: one of the municipal-bond CEFs I recommended to ContrarianOutlook.com readers more than two months ago raised its dividend.

The Pioneer Municipal High-Income Advantage Trust (MAV) hiked its payout by over 5%, giving the fund a 5.3% yield.

The stock price caught a lift on the news, bringing it to a 4.3% total return in a little more than two months, outperforming the municipal-bond fund benchmark iShares National Municipal Bond Total Return Fund (MUB) and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY).

Trouncing Munis and Stocks

The hike came after a series of dividend cuts dragged down the fund’s share price over the last few years:

Falling Yields and Prices

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Plenty of income investors say they are in it for the dividends. But they mistakenly fixate on erratic (and irrelevant) charts like these:

This Chart Will Cost You Money…

Instead of charts with actionable information – like these:

… While This One Will Make You Wealthy

The first chart was price-only, a source of agony for many investors. While the second was quarterly dividends, with this example representing the perfect passive income stream for any retiree.

The latter is often available at a discount because the former – the share price of Omega Healthcare (OHI) – keeps its “ticker watchers” busy. Even though price has gone nowhere lately, it’s been quoted as high as $38 and as low as $28 per share. …
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